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Statistical Model Provides Hints at Presidential Outcome


Most people might look at the stock market and purely view it through a financial lens. The performance of the Dow Jones index might lead to a better performing portfolio or perhaps losses, but to some political and financial observers, it can tell a lot more than that.

Paul Schatz developes a statistics- and mathematics-based model that looks at market trends and what they say about which party will win control of the White House.

"If we sell off dramatically from now until election day, it gives a big tailwind to Donald Trump and if we rally from now until the election, it gives a big, big bump to Hillary Clinton," Schatz said during an interview at his Woodbridge office Wednesday.

Schatz, who is the president of Heritage Capital, said the key figure is 18,000 and whether it soars above or below that threshold.

"The farther below 18,000 the market goes into election day, the more likely it is that Donald Trump is going to win," Schatz said.

The model has correctly corresponded in every presidential election since he built it in the 1980s with the exception of the 2004 presidential contest between President George W. Bush and Senator John Kerry.

As for market certainty and the stability of the indexes, Schatz said brokers, investors and the markets like divided government more than one party rule.

In that case, Schatz said, "The only legislation that gets passed are what are true bipartisan compromises that are very moderate and middle of the road," which don’t disrupt the status quo.

Florida Hospital Charges Mom Delivery Room Fee for Baby Born in SUV


A Boca Raton woman who gave birth inside her car on a hospital parking lot is being billed a delivery room fee even though she never made it into the delivery room.

It wasn't the way Paula D'Amore and her husband planned on bringing her baby into the world.

"We drove up, my husband ran out and I said she's crowning and her head came out," D'Amore told NBC affiliate WPTV.

D'Amore said her husband caught the baby's head and nurses ran out to help with the rest of the delivery. Baby Daniella was born in a Jeep Grand Cherokee in the fire lane outside Boca Raton Regional Hospital.

Seven months later, the family says it received a bill for more than $7,000, which included the delivery room charge.

"I knew that I was responsible for the $5,000 deductible. I get it, I'm going to pay the bill, that's not the issue, the issue is that I'm like, I look at this delivery charge and I think that's a little outrageous," said D'Amore.

The mother said she planned for the birthing costs, but thought that since she never made it to the delivery room, the hospital would adjust the bill. D'Amore noted she did deliver the placenta in the hospital.

A spokesperson for Boca Raton Regional Hospital told WPTV the administration has no comment at this time.

Thomas Chakurda, the hospital's vice president for marketing, told the Sun Sentinel in an emailed statement that Boca Regional has reviewed D'Amore's concerns, and deemed the billing was suitable.

"The hospital appropriately bills for the medical services and care it provides and has determined that the level of care provided and billing were appropriate in this instance," Chakurda said.

D'Amore argues the hospital is "basically saying that everything was billed appropriately."

She says she is going to pay the bill even though it says the baby was delivered in the car prior to arrival.

Photo Credit: WPTV

Police Investigating 3-Year-Old Child Wandering in Bristol


Police are investigating an incident where a 3-year-old girl was found wandering in Bristol on Wednesday night. 

The girl has been returned to her mother after being separated for about an hour, police said. 

Bristol Police said the toddler was found wandering by a neighbor's home, who briefly followed the child before calling police. 

Police set up a perimeter and sent out a reverse 911 call to residents in the town.

While the neighbor waited with the child, police eventually located the mother who lives down the road, police said. 

it is not clear what the mother was doing while the child was missing for about an hour but police said she was "very upset".

No charges have been filed at this time and the child was not harmed. 

Photo Credit: NBC Connecticut

Team Doctor Saves Student After Quinnipiac Hockey Game


A frightening situation following a Quinnipiac University hockey game turned heroic.

Had Dr. David Wang, the QU team physician, not stopped to speak with two former hockey players, he said he may have left the TD Bank Sports Center before a 19-year-old freshman had a medical emergency.

“Suddenly, someone comes running down the halls saying they need help, they need a medic, is exactly what they said,” Wang told NBC Connecticut in an exclusive interview, recalling what happened after last Tuesday’s game.

Wang rushed over to find the QU student laying on her back and looking extremely pale.

“Then we find out she really doesn’t have a pulse and she’s really not breathing and we have to act at that point in time,” said Wang, who is the sports medicine lead at Connecticut Children’s Medical Center.

Another student, seeing the seriousness of the situation, quickly retrieved an Automatic Defibrillator.

“We did the CPR and then we finally got the AED hooked up and it did have to shock her, and actually had to shock her twice,” Wang said.

While treating the patient, Wang said he thought of her parents and his own daughter, who is a high school senior.

“The first couple months of college do you want that phone call? So I said to myself we cannot let this happen, it just cannot happen,” he said.

By the time the ambulance arrived to transport her to the ICU at Yale-New Haven Hospital, Wang said she had a pulse.

“So the fact that she’s alive and well is amazing and all I want to sort of complete the picture is to see her awake opposed to the way I saw her, give her a hug and say you’re amazing,” Wang said.

NBC Connecticut spoke with the student’s mother. She said her daughter is home resting. She added the family is very grateful and would like the chance to thank Wang in person.

Photo Credit: NBC Connecticut

New Efforts to Prevent Sexual Assaults at Community Colleges


A new effort to prevent sexual assaults on community college campuses across Connecticut was rolled on Wednesday.

“I think especially in a community college, even though it’s on a smaller scale, it’s really important,” Delecial Young, said.

Many applauded Capital Community College and 11 other state community colleges for tackling the issue head on.

Among those front and center at the rollout of the new program was Marcel Jennings, who runs Capital’s PRIDE, a pro-LGBT group.

“Our community is very prone to sexual violence,” Jennings, said.

To help prevent acts of sex assault against all students, the Connecticut State Colleges and Universities announced a collaboration with police, prosecutors, and community groups to address the issue.

Nationally on average one in five women will be the victim of some form of sexual assault while at college.

“It is our responsibility to protect our students,” Mark Ojakian, president of Connecticut State Colleges and Universities, said.

The schools will offer students a new online program called “Not Anymore” to teach them about consent, stalking, and domestic violence.

Experts say social media is adding to the problem.

“This form of communication has also offered this new opportunity for abusive partners to harass the victim,” Karen Jarmoc, president of the Connecticut Coalition Against Domestic Violence, said.

Part of the effort is agreements between the schools and prosecutors and police about how cases are investigated and to make sure victims feel comfortable coming forward.

Students are hopeful that this will make a difference.

“It’s going to be effective as long as they stay proactive and stick with what they’re doing and not fall off anywhere,” Young, said.

The new online program is being rolled out this month.

Next spring there are plans for student workshops on how they can stop a sexual assault if they see it going on.

Town of Guilford Divided Over Proposed Section of Shoreline Trail


Since the early 2000s, Guilford resident Pam Simonds has advocated for the construction of a multi-use, 25-mile path for pedestrians and cyclists that runs along the shoreline from New Haven to Madison.

"We are getting there with some adjustment to the dream," she said of the Shoreline Greenway Trail. "In our town there is not one single bike trail that is safe off-road, yet in the other three towns of Branford, East Haven, Madison we have built sections of trail."

Designing the section in Guilford has proved to be difficult, according to the town engineer.

“We don’t have an old railroad line we could follow or old trolley line which would be great,” Guilford town engineer Jim Portley said. "I think you wouldn’t have any real opposition if that’s the case.”

Longtime Guilford resident Patricia Klindienst said that since September more than 500 residents have signed a petition urging the Guilford Board of Selectmen to vote against building the first phase of the trail in Guilford.

"They have an idea in their head of what they want," Klindienst said. "But this is not what the town is going to get and people are shockingly unconcerned with how damaging this is to residents and businesses."

Her concerns range from the environmental impact to a lack of transparency in the planning process and the design not being safe for pedestrians and cyclists.

"We need to give it back to the town and do what’s right for Guilford," Klindienst said. "It’s not about the Shoreline Greenway Trail, it’s about our town and the need for professional planners to do a bike-ped plan."

Simonds, who is the co-chair for the Shoreline Greenway Trail organization, said the group wants to address the concerns of businesses and property owners along the proposed trail.

"A lot of the concern of the opponents to the trail is about eminent domain and that is not anything we would ever condone," she said.

After Tuesday night's packed public hearing, it is up to the Board of Selectmen to vote on approving the start of construction. They meet next Monday, but it is not known if the trail will be on their agenda.

Photo Credit: NBC Connecticut

Efforts to Conserve Water in Waterbury Not Enough


It’s been about three weeks since the City of Waterbury was placed in a temporary public water supply emergency due to the drought. So have the latest conservation measures been making a difference?

Manager of the city's Bureau of Water, Don Carver, told NBC Connecticut they are.

On Oct. 20, the Department of Public health declared a public water supply emergency in the city for 30 days. Water capacity in its reservoirs were at 46 percent then.

On Nov. 2, reservoirs were at 44.5 percent capacity.

While capacity is slightly lower, Carver, said residents are making a positive impact on the water supply. 

“We have noticed a reduction in the daily demand it has dropped by 1 to 2 million gallons a day so that shows us that people are really making a consorted effort to conserve water,” said Carver.

The average demand for the last two years has been 16 million gallons of water used per day, as opposed to now about 14 million gallons after water conservation efforts.

It's proof that every little bit of conserving is making a difference.

“I cut down myself, you know, to take only 3 showers a week now and doing a bird bath the rest of the time and cut down on doing laundry,” said resident, Mary Ann Gabaree.

Since the water supply emergency was declared in Waterbury last month, Governor Malloy has announced its first-ever state drought watch.

Waterbury lies in one of the six counties placed on the watch -- which includes New Haven, Fairfield, Hartford, Litchfield, Middlesex and Tolland County -- and both state and city water authorities are asking residents there to voluntarily reduce their water usage by about 15 percent.

“We’re also going to be doing a system wide water audit and leak detection," said Carver. "That’s going around through our entire system and checking all of our valves and all of our water mains to ensure that there are no leaks. And if we do find leaks we repair them immediately.”

If there was not a drought, water capacity would be in the 60 percentile range this time of year.

If residents are caught using water outside they could face a fine.

Photo Credit: NBC Connecticut

Blue Hills Fire District Commissioners Respond to Call for Bylaws


One night after the NBC Connecticut Troubleshooters uncovered what some would consider generous perks for a local fire commission the commission told citizens at its monthly meeting it will take steps to address their concerns.

People in Bloomfield have shared their displeasure with what we uncovered about three volunteer Blue Hills Fire District commissioners. Documents obtained by the Troubleshooters show Ariel Jaunai gets a $5000 annual stipend. Last year she also received a $6000 fiscal year end bonus, a $2000 Christmas bonus and 20 gallons of free gas per week, worth at least another $2000 per year. Jaunai’s grand total of roughly $15,000 for the most recently completed fiscal year.

Tanya Farmer, who chairs the board of commissioners, also received the same…totaling approximately $15,000.

Jerry Hughes, a retired Blue Hills firefighter, got a little less. He receives the $5000 stipend and got the $6000 year end bonus. His Christmas bonus was $600, and he has not taken the free gasoline, so his perks total close to $12,000.

Citizens want a set a bylaws to spell out what the commissioners actually receive…because right now they don’t have any. Commissioners have told us in terms of the stipends, gasoline and christmas bonuses “Those precedents were set many, many years ago and have been followed traditionally by each administration” and “performance bonuses began approximately 3 years ago.” Commissioners said they now plan to have bylaws drawn up by early next year by March.

One point of contention…who will draw up these bylaws? People from the public in attendance would like to have input, but right now it is not clear if they will.

Photo Credit: NBC Connecticut
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5th District Race in Connecticut Could Be Tight


While Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton seem to get all the attention but remember: every two years states vote for their representatives in the House in Washington, D.C.

The tightest congressional race in Connecticut this year may be in the 5th District.

Stretching from Danbury to Simsbury, from Meriden to Salisbury, with Waterbury in between, the 5th district is large: 41 towns and cities. Battling it out are the incumbent, Democrat Elizabeth Esty, and the challenger, Sherman First Selectman Republican Clay Cope.

"I've got a record I'm running on. I'm proud of that, helping people all over the 5th district, central and northwest Connecticut," said Esty. "In our district, people are concerned about three things. They're concerned about prosperity, they're concerned about security, and results. And I'll deliver on all of those things," said Cope.

A big point of contention between the candidates is Cope's belief that Esty doesn't pay attention to the entire, expansive district.

"She's never actually been here in Sherman in my town hall in any official capacity. To my knowledge she's never been here at all. I'll be different. I'll visit every single one of the cities and towns in the district and meet with the first selectmen or mayors at least once a year," said Cope. In response, Esty retorted "I'm out there every day working hard, going where people call and ask me to come and bringing people together to solve the problems in the state and in the country."

Esty has held the seat in the House of Representatives since 2012. Cope is aiming to be the first Connecticut Republican in D.C. since 2008.

"We should have a Republican representative from the state of Connecticut. Right now, we have 7 congressmen and senators all Democrats. So that alone would merit some consideration by the voter," said Cope.

"This district was gerrymandered. It was cut to be competitive. It's always competitive. It's mostly independent voters and so again, people don't care about that letter after your name. They want to know you'll get the job done," explained Esty.

Both candidates said they will spend the next six days campaigning heavily. Cope said he will try to tie Esty to Governor Dan Malloy.

Esty said her goal is to get as many voters to the polls as possible.

Photo Credit: NBC Connecticut

ISIS Leader Emerges With Defiant Statement


A day after Iraq said its forces had re-entered the last ISIS-held city in the country, ISIS leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi emerged Wednesday with a statement calling on supporters to spread their attacks to other countries, NBC News reported.

The 30-minute message, titled "This Is What Allah and His Messenger Had Promised Us," was the first official statement from the terrorist leader since last December.

With Iraqi special forces having advanced Tuesday into Mosul, al-Baghdadi sought to portray gains by the anti-ISIS coalition as a victory, contending that the sheer number of forces opposing ISIS proves just how strong it really is, according to an analysis by Flashpoint Intelligence, a global security firm and NBC News consultant.

Photo Credit: Militant video via AP File

Donations Let Kids Have School Photos Taken for Free


A professional photographer hasn’t done a picture day at Hartford's McDonough Expeditionary Learning School in about three years.

"Some of the local photography companies said they didn’t want to come to our school anymore because parents were unable to buy enough of the packets to make it worthwhile," said principal Bethany Sullivan.

That's when Carla Ten Eyck Photography teamed up with Ross Imaging to make sure every student will be getting prints for free, with the help of $1,800 in donations she raised from the public. 

"I think if more people stopped and were to say, ‘what can I do for somebody else?’ that’s how this started," said Carla Ten Eyck, who owns the photography studio in Hartford. Ross Imaging, located in Hamden, will print the photos for the students.

The excitement of picture day wasn't the only thing to put a smile on students’ faces, but also the encouragement given from their photographer.

"When they support me it like makes me feel better," said 11-year-old Justin Wynn. "I feel like kind of more confident in taking pictures."

"She made me feel kind of happy," said Tanasia King referring to her photographer. "She was like, 'Oh my gosh. You look so pretty,' and she had me taking like different poses and stuff so I was kind of excited."

Thanks to the kindness of a photography studio, printing company and the public students at McDonough and their families will forever have the memory of their 2016 class photo.

Funds raised by the public will go to school and art supplies at McDonough.

Photo Credit: NBC Connecticut

SUV Lands on SUV in Newtown


A 22-year-old Newtown man is in the hospital after hitting a parked car in a front yard in Sandy Hook, flipping his Ford Explorer and landing right on top of the other vehicle, according to state police.

Police said 22-year-old Richard Sandler, of Newtown, lost control of his 2013 Ford Escape on a curve while going south on Philo Curtis Road and hit a parked SUV in the front yard of 24 Philo Curtis Road. The SUV that was parked in the front yard has a "for sale" sign on it.

No one was in the parked car, but Sandler was injured when his car flipped over and landed on the roof of the parked car, according to state police.

Newtown police officers, EMS and the Sandy Hook Fire Department responded to the 911 call just before 1 a.m. and removed Sandler from the vehicle. He was brought to Danbury Hospital, but it’s not clear if he was injured.

Newtown Police are investigating.

Photo Credit: NBCConnecticut.com

Cleveland Indians Congratulate Cubs With Touching Message


The Cleveland Indians fell just short of making their own history in the World Series, but the team showed serious respect to the Chicago Cubs after a thrilling extra-inning Game 7.

The team tweeted shortly after their loss, "Through everything, our guys never gave up."

"But our storybook season falls just short," the team wrote. "Congrats to Chicago. #RallyTogether."

The Cubs ended the longest drought in professional sports history, capturing their first World Series title in 108 years Wednesday night. 

Ben Zobrist, who drove in a run in the top of the 10th inning and was Chicago's most consistent player throughout the series, was named World Series MVP following the Cubs' triumph.

The Indians put up a tough fight, tying the game 6-6 and forcing the game to go to 10 innings. 

After a brief rain delay, the Cubs got the lead-off runner on in the 10th inning and scored the go-ahead run. Zobrist, who has the best batting average of any player in the World Series, smacked an opposite field RBI double to give the Cubs a 7-6 lead.

After an intentional walk to Russell, Miguel Montero came up and delivered another clutch hit, hitting an opposite field single to drive in Rizzo and make it an 8-6 game.

The Indians scored a run in the bottom of the 10th, but fell just short of a victory. 

Photo Credit: Getty Images
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Police Investigating 2 Crashes on Route 17 in Durham


State police are investigating two crashes on Route 17 in Durham. 

They said there is a motorcycle crash in the area of 325 Main St. and the other crash is around half a mile away. 

No additional information was immediately available.

Photo Credit: NBCConnecticut.com

Man Shot in Parked Car in New Haven


A 42-year-old man was shot as he sat in his car in New Haven on Wednesday night and police said they have not determined a motive for the shooting. 

Police responded to the 500 of George Street just after 10 p.m. to investigate a shooting and said a man with a gun confronted the victim, who was sitting in a parked car, and fired several gunshots. 

The victim as shot in his right arm and ran from the shooter, police said. 

Witnesses are asked to call police at 203-946-6304.

Photo Credit: NBCConnecticut.com

Blades Attached to Campaign Sign


A poll worker was injured after he picked up a campaign sign on Collin College's Plano campus that had box-cutter blades attached to it.

Photo Credit: Collin College

Poll Worker Injured By Blades on Trump Campaign Sign


Police are searching for a suspect who attached sharp blades to a Donald Trump campaign sign that was posted on a North Texas college campus.

School officials say an election worker was at the Spring Creek Campus of Collin College in Plano early Tuesday morning when he noticed the Trump campaign sign blocking the official polling site sign.

The worker tried to re-position the sign to its correct location, but when he picked it up his hands were cut by box-cutter blades attached to the sign.

The cuts were minor, so he treated the wounds himself and did not seek medical attention.

"The safety of our campus is of the utmost importance, so the incident was reported to the campus police and the Texas Rangers for investigation," said Lisa Vasquez, public relations spokesperson for Collin College. "All campaign signs on the college’s campuses are being inspected, and any sharps found on signage will be removed. The college will be working with local election officials and both political parties to ensure safety."

Photo Credit: Collin College

Meriden Truck Driver Drunk, Changing Pants Before Truck Rollover: Police


Vermont State Police say a man was drunkenly changing his clothes before his tractor trailer rolled over while driving on the highway Wednesday morning.

Allen R. Johnson Sr of Meriden, Connecticut was driving on Interstate 89 northbound in Williston, Vermont when his vehicle rolled over around 9:30 a.m. that morning, according to police.

Police investigation revealed that Johnson Sr was standing in his driver’s seat and trying to change his pants while driving 63 mph. He also failed a sobriety test after a breath test showed .209% BAC, which is five times the legal limit for driving on a public highway.

Johnson was taken to University of Vermont Medical Center for minor injuries.

The driver was released and is scheduled to appear in Chittenden County Criminal Court on November 22 for the charges of driving under the influence while operating a commercial motor vehicle and negligent operation.

Photo Credit: Vermont State Police

2-Month-Old Panda Cubs at Atlanta Zoo Weigh 4 Pounds Each


The Atlanta Zoo announced on Tuesday that its giant panda, Lun Lun, gave birth to twin cubs. The pandas are now nearly 2 months old and weigh more than four pounds. They are expected to make their debut at the Atlanta Zoo in December or January and, in accordance with the Chinese tradition, the twins will be named on Dec. 12, which is 100 days after they were born.

Photo Credit: AP

Naugatuck Considers a Longer School Day


The school district in Naugatuck is considering starting school later in the day and believes the small change could have a big impact. 

During a special meeting the School Start Time Committee hosted Wednesday night, Glenn Connan, chair of the committee and vice chairman for the Naugatuck Board of Education, presented the proposal to more than 100 students and parents. 

The committee is made up of board of education members, students, parents and faculty and Connan highlighted research showing students who get more sleep do better and said delaying when school starts should help students get the sleep they need. 

"Test scores improve, grades improve, GPA improves, graduation rates improve, tardiness goes down, absenteeism goes down," Connan said. 

While some voiced their support during Wednesday night's meeting, the majority of those who spoke up called it a bad idea. 

"It's going to hurt our activities, our homework, and they push us to study. It's not going to give us a lot of time to study," said Faith Decrescenzo, who goes to Hill City Middle School. 

AA'Leiyah Petty, who attends Naugatuck High School, said a later start time would interfere with her schoolwork and with trying to get a job. 

"I'm trying to save up for a car, save up for college," Petty said. 

"I feel like I'll just be up later and more stressed out," said Alyssa Peterson, who attends Naugatuck High School and participates in school sports. 

Those opposed to the change said it'll make extracurricular activities and sports go on later. 

If the hours change, five buses would need to be added, potentially increasing expenses by $272,000. 

Those in favor of the move said the benefits outweigh the costs. 

Connan said, despite rumors going around it would not eliminate freshman sports. He would also like to add more sports, including lacrosse and field hockey. He also said starting later is safer because students won't be driving to school sleepy or standing by the bus stop in total darkness. 

Opponents said they feel the issue is being rushed and that not all the consequences are being considered. 

Working parents said they can't stay at home later to see their kids off to school. 

Parents and students will be able to take a survey and voice their opinions on the proposal. 

The board of education could take a vote on the issue as soon as Dec. 8 and a decision for the change would impact the 2017-18 school year. 

Officials stress that nothing is written in stone and that a decision may not be made at the next board of education meeting. 

They said they are taking everything said at Wednesday night's meeting under consideration.

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